Question
Solving this problem is essentially equivalent to the mechanism design problem of making an adaptive limited-supply auction. A problem similar to this one but with a fixed order is called the prophet inequality problem, where “prophet” is spelled P-R-O-P-H-E-T. Martin Gardner first formulated this problem as a game involving slips of paper with numbers from zero to a googol. The first chapter of the bestseller Algorithms to Live By centers on this problem and cites the example of Johannes Kepler’s arduous search for a (*) partner after the death of his first wife. The best strategy for this problem, which succeeds with probability approaching 1 over e, is to always look at the first n over e options and choose the next option that’s better than all of them. For 10 points, name this problem central to optimal stopping theory, whose most common formulation involves a manager hiring the best assistant. ■END■
ANSWER: secretary problem [accept marriage problem; accept sultan’s dowry problem; prompt on “optimal stopping” before “optimal stopping”; reject “stable marriage”]
<AW>
= Average correct buzz position
Conv. % | Power % | Average Buzz |
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75% | 0% | 91.67 |
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